Expected Valentine’s Day spending
The National Retail Federation projected a record $29.1 billion in U.S. Valentine’s Day spending for 2026.
Source: NRF, January 27, 2026 ↗Moma B’s reference desk
A current, citable snapshot of how Americans are marking the moments that matter, from Valentine’s Day and Mother’s Day to Father’s Day and online retail. Every figure links to its original source.
Last updated October 7, 2026
At a glance
These are reported spending plans and retail estimates, not predictions from Moma B’s. They are here to make the larger gifting picture easier to understand and cite.
The National Retail Federation projected a record $29.1 billion in U.S. Valentine’s Day spending for 2026.
Source: NRF, January 27, 2026 ↗Shoppers said they planned to spend $199.78 on average for Valentine’s Day gifts and celebrations in 2026.
Source: NRF, January 27, 2026 ↗Mother’s Day shoppers were budgeting an average of $284.25 per person, for $38 billion in expected 2026 spending.
Source: NRF, May 4, 2026 ↗The National Retail Federation projected a record $27.9 billion in U.S. Father’s Day spending for 2026.
Source: NRF, June 10, 2026 ↗Seventy-seven percent of consumers said they planned to celebrate Father’s Day in 2026.
Source: NRF, June 10, 2026 ↗U.S. retail e-commerce sales accounted for 16.6% of adjusted retail sales in the fourth quarter of 2025.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Q4 2025 release ↗Methodology and sources
This page uses public, primary-source research from the National Retail Federation, its consumer survey partner Prosper Insights & Analytics, and the U.S. Census Bureau. Spending figures represent the source’s stated survey projections or estimates for the named period. We refresh this reference when key source data changes, while keeping these section links stable for readers who cite it.
A thoughtful next step
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